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The Stash Edge

Issued Saturday, July 11, 2026 · 09:00 UTC Edition Every 3h · 6 papers From the chopped neck Latest Issue Archive Corporate Accounts
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Ranked by the pour ISABELLA'S ISLAY HENRI IV MACALLAN 1926 LOUIS XIII PAPPY 23 JOHNNIE BLUE WELL POUR
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ISABELLA'S ISLAY Pricing Play Jul 11, 5:01 AM EDT

Record 2025 revenues signal footwear demand remains structural, not cyclical

adidas reported record revenues for 2025 and expects strong sales and profit growth to continue, per the company's financial release.

ReadingThe steal: when demand is structural (not trend-driven), price up instead of down. The first move is not volume—it's margin. Take that spread and fund better product, faster iteration, and closer-to-consumer distribution. That margin compounds faster than discount-driven volume ever does.
MY STASH TAKEMost brands see strong demand and panic-discount to capture market share. adidas went the other way. They kept pricing firm, let some volume walk, and pocketed the spread. That spread funds the next cycle of product and supply wins. The physical product game rewards patience on margin more than it rewards panic on volume.
WatchWatch for adidas using that margin to fund direct-to-consumer channel expansion and faster seasonal drops.
Read full analysis → Original ↗
pricingmarginrevenuefootwear
HENRI IV Distribution Play Jul 11, 5:01 AM EDT
New Balance
SGB Media Online ↗

19% revenue surge in 2025, targeting $10B in 2026, per SGB Media

New Balance grew revenues 19% in 2025 and is publicly projecting $10B in total revenue for 2026, indicating aggressive wholesale and DTC expansion.

ReadingThe steal: the public projection is not hope—it's a forecast built on signed orders and confirmed channel capacity. When a brand names a bold number in an interview, they've already secured the distribution and inventory to back it. Use that signal to identify brands that are about to become unavailable or expensive to partner with.
MY STASH TAKENew Balance naming $10B isn't arrogance—it's a signal that their supply chain and wholesale relationships are locked two quarters ahead. When a brand gets loud about their growth target, they're already full. This is the moment to watch for price increases, limited wholesale slots, and DTC-only drops. The growth is baked in.
WatchWatch for New Balance pulling back from smaller wholesalers and consolidating inventory with major retail partners.
Read full analysis → Original ↗
growthforecastwholesalefootwear
MACALLAN 1926 Retail & Shelf Play Jul 11, 5:01 AM EDT
Target
CNBC ↗

Beat Wall Street estimates; hiked sales outlook as shoppers return

Target exceeded Q3 2026 consensus estimates and raised full-year guidance, signaling retail foot traffic is stabilizing and basket size is recovering.

ReadingThe steal: retail guidance raises happen when inventory turns improve, not when traffic spikes. Target's win is in working inventory harder—fewer SKUs, better turns, less markdown pressure, and fresher shelves. That leaves room to price ahead and fund better POS placement. For brands selling into Target: the retailer just proved they'll pay for products that turn fast and don't need markdown support.
MY STASH TAKETarget's beat wasn't about new traffic—it was about existing traffic spending more per basket. That means their shelves got tighter, their turns got faster, and their buyers are now more aggressive about backing products with velocity. If you sell into Target, this is the moment to pitch turn data, not feature sets.
WatchWatch for Target consolidating smaller SKU counts and increasing direct-import buying to reduce vendor margins.
Read full analysis → Original ↗
retailearningsinventoryturns
LOUIS XIII Brand-Story Play Jul 11, 5:01 AM EDT
Mo's Coffee
strategyonline.ca ↗

Australian challenger enters Canadian retail shelves with brand-story positioning

Mo's Coffee, an Aussie challenger brand, expanded into Canadian retail by leading with its founder story and brand narrative rather than pricing or promotion.

ReadingThe steal: when you are the new brand on the shelf, never lead with price or promotional terms. Lead with the reason the founder exists and why that customer cares. Retailers stock brands with story momentum because they know those brands will sell at margin. Give them the why-we-exist first, then negotiate shelf.
MY STASH TAKEMo's Coffee did the quiet version of expansion. No hype, no seeding, no influencer tour. They built a story strong enough that Canadian retailers wanted it on their shelves. That's the play most small brands miss—they think they need a PR campaign. They actually need to tell the retailer why the product exists and why their customers will recognize it.
WatchWatch for Mo's Coffee testing premium positioning and higher-margin placements in Canadian independent retailers and specialty channels.
Read full analysis → Original ↗
retailbrand-storyexpansioninternational
PAPPY 23 Email & DM Funnel Jul 11, 5:01 AM EDT

Conversion lift in Q3 2026 ecommerce growth outpaced traffic expansion

Costco's ecommerce sales growth in Q3 2026 was driven by improved conversion rates rather than traffic growth alone, per Digital Commerce 360.

ReadingThe steal: for membership or repeat-purchase models, conversion beats traffic. Optimize the checkout path, reduce cart abandonment, and test bundle recommendations at the decision point. A 2% conversion lift on existing traffic is worth three times the ad spend to drive that same traffic volume. Measure and report conversion per traffic segment, not just traffic growth.
MY STASH TAKECostco proved something most DTC brands ignore: the easiest dollar to earn is the one that walks through your front door. They had the traffic. They just made the funnel tighter. That's the move—stop chasing new visitors and tighten the conversion on what you've got.
WatchWatch for Costco testing AI-powered product recommendations at checkout and personalized bundle offers based on membership tier.
Read full analysis → Original ↗
conversionecommercefunnelretention
JOHNNIE BLUE Distribution Play Jul 11, 5:01 AM EDT
McKinsey & Company
McKinsey & Company ↗

Fashion 2026 report signals rule-change cycle in sourcing and retail consolidation

McKinsey's State of Fashion 2026 report indicates structural shifts in how brands source, price, and distribute apparel and footwear.

ReadingThe steal: industry trend reports from tier-one consulting firms are not predictions—they are synchronized signals to a purchasing committee. Read the McKinsey fashion report and ask: which of these rule changes are already baked into the buying decisions of major retailers? That's where the margin is moving. Position your supply narrative around the rules they say are changing.
MY STASH TAKEMcKinsey calling out rule changes means major retailers are already using that report to justify consolidation, nearshoring, and margin restructuring. If you sell apparel or footwear, your buyer just got that report and is now making decisions against it. Read it first, then frame your pitch around the rules they're abandoning.
WatchWatch for brands and retailers accelerating nearshoring and direct-import programs citing McKinsey's structural findings.
Read full analysis → Original ↗
fashiontrendsourcingretail
WELL POUR Community Play Jul 11, 5:01 AM EDT
Hellmann's
Unilever Global ↗

NBA collaboration drove new fans and measurable brand growth, per Unilever

Hellmann's partnered with the NBA and reported both new customer acquisition and brand growth metrics, per Unilever's public disclosure.

ReadingThe steal: sports partnerships that work tie the product to the moment of consumption, not just the team. Hellmann's works in kitchens, on game day, and in stadium concessions. That three-point activation (home game, arena, retail) creates friction-free repeat. Partner with a sport or league where your product lives in the consumption moment.
MY STASH TAKEHellmann's NBA deal was smart because mayo is part of game-day eating. It's not a reach. They didn't pay to put their logo on a jersey—they created a reason to buy their product during basketball season. That's the level of partnership specificity that actually moves units.
WatchWatch for Hellmann's testing limited-edition game-day packaging and stadium-exclusive flavors in NBA markets.
Read full analysis → Original ↗
sportspartnershipactivationbrand-growth
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